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Problem 1: Now is t = 0. You have $20,000 that you are willing to investing for

ID: 2644811 • Letter: P

Question

Problem 1: Now is t = 0. You have $20,000 that you are willing to investing for 3 years. You are considering three different potential strategies. They are:

Strategy 1: Invest in a 3 year zero with a current (i.e., t = 0) yield to maturity of 3 percent.

Strategy 2: Invest in a 1-year zero with a current (i.e., t = 0) yield to maturity of 1 percent; then next year (when the current 1-year zero matures) invest in a two year zero at whatever the yield to maturity on two-year zeros are then (at t = 1).

Strategy 3: Invest in a 5 year zero with a current yield to maturity of 3.5 percent and sell these bonds in three years (at t = 3).

If the yield curves at t = 1 and t = 3 are as shown below, which of these three strategies will turn out the best? That is, after 3 years, which strategy will generate the largest amount of money?   

t = 1 Yield Curve:                                                              t = 3 Yield Curve:                                     .

Time to maturity              YTM                                       Time to Maturity              YTM

(in years)                                                                             (in years)

1                                              .02                                          1                                              .02

2                                              .022                                        2                                              .025

3                                              .025                                        3                                              .035

4                                              .030                                        4                                              .045

Explanation / Answer

Problem 1: Now is t = 0. You have $20,000 that you are willing to investing for 3 years. You are considering three different potential strategies. They are:

Strategy 1: Invest in a 3 year zero with a current (i.e., t = 0) yield to maturity of 3 percent.

Amount in 3 year = 20000*(1+3%)^3

Amount in 3 year = $ 21,854.54

Strategy 2: Invest in a 1-year zero with a current (i.e., t = 0) yield to maturity of 1 percent; then next year (when the current 1-year zero matures) invest in a two year zero at whatever the yield to maturity on two-year zeros are then (at t = 1).

Amount in 1 year = 20000*(1+1%)

Amount in 1 year = $ 20200

Amount in 3 year = 20200*(1+2.2%)^2

Amount in 3 year = $ 21,098.58

Strategy 3: Invest in a 5 year zero with a current yield to maturity of 3.5 percent and sell these bonds in three years (at t = 3).

Amount in 5 year = 20000*(1+3.5%)^5

Amount in 5 year = $ 23,753.73

Amount in 3 year = 23753.73/(1+2.5%)^2

Amount in 3 year = $ 22,609.14

Answer

Strategy 3 will generate the largest amount of money after 3 years