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Use the following information on states of the economy and stock returns to calc

ID: 2718354 • Letter: U

Question

Use the following information on states of the economy and stock returns to calculate the standard deviation of returns. (Do not round intermediate calculations. Enter your answer as a percent rounded to 2 decimal places. Omit the "%" sign in your response.) State of Economy

                         Probability of state economy                               Security Return if state occurs

Recession:            .40                                                                           -6%

Normal:                 .25                                                                            10%

Boom:                   .35                                                                             19%

Explanation / Answer

   Probability(p) Return(r) Er(Expected Return) r-Er (r-Er)2 p *  (r-Er)2     

0.40 -0.06 0.0675 -0.1275 0.01626 0.00650

0.25 0.10 0.0675 0.0325 0.00106 0.00027

0.35 0.19 0.0675 0.1225 0.01501    0.00525

Variance   0.01202

Standard deviation of returns = (variance)1/2

= (0.01202)1/2

   = 10.96

Note:   Expected return( Er) = (0.40 * -0.06 ) + (0.25 * 0.10)+ (0.35* 0.19)

= 0.0675