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Suppose you and most other investors expect the inflation rate to be 7% next yea

ID: 2734116 • Letter: S

Question

Suppose you and most other investors expect the inflation rate to be 7% next year, to fall to 5% during the following year, and then to remain at a rate of 3% thereafter. Assume that the real risk-free rate, r*, will remain at 2% and that maturity risk premiums on Treasury securities rise from zero on very short-term securities (those that mature in a few days) to a level of 0.2 percentage points for 1-year securities. Furthermore, maturity risk premiums increase 0.2 percentage points for each year to maturity, up to a limit of 1.0 percentage point on 5-year or longer-term T-notes and T-bonds.

Calculate the interest rate on 1-year Treasury securities. Round your answer to two decimal places.
  %
Calculate the interest rate on 2-year Treasury securities. Round your answer to two decimal places.
  %
Calculate the interest rate on 3-year Treasury securities. Round your answer to two decimal places.
  %
Calculate the interest rate on 4-year Treasury securities. Round your answer to two decimal places.
  %
Calculate the interest rate on 5-year Treasury securities. Round your answer to two decimal places.
  %
Calculate the interest rate on 10-year Treasury securities. Round your answer to two decimal places.
  %
Calculate the interest rate on 20-year Treasury securities. Round your answer to two decimal places.
  %

Explanation / Answer

Inflation Rate 1 = 7 % (IF)

Inflation Rate 2 = 5 % (IF)

Inflation Rate 3 = 3 % (IF)

Rate * = 2 %

Market Risk Premium = MRP =02% = > 1% (year 5)

Year                  IF                    IP

1                      7%                   7%

2                      5%                   6%

3                      3%                   5%

4                      3%                   4.5%

5                      3%                   4.2%

10                    3%                   3.6%

20                    3%                   3.3%

Year                  r*                     IP                      MRP    =>       r?

1                      2%                   7%                   0.2%                9.2%

2                      2%                   6%                   0.4%                8.4%

3                      2%                   5%                   0.6%                7.6%

4                      2%                   4.5%                0.8%                7.3%

5                      2%                   4.2%                1.0%                7.2%

10                    2%                   3.6%                1%                   6.6%

20                    2%                   3.3%                1%                   6.3%