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Security Returns If State Occurs State of Probability of Economy State of Econom

ID: 2760428 • Letter: S

Question

Security Returns If State Occurs State of Probability of Economy State of Economy Roll Ross Bust .30 -11 % 12 % Boom .70 29 5 Calculate the expected return on a portfolio of 50 percent Roll and 50 percent Ross by filling in the following table: (Negative values should be indicated by a minus sign. Do not round intermediate calculations. Enter your answers as a percent rounded to 2 decimal places. Omit the "%" sign in your response.) State of Economy Probability of State of Economy Portfolio Return If State Occurs Product Bust .30% % Boom .70% % E(RP) = %

Explanation / Answer

Given in the problem

State of economy the probability of roll /ross in bust is .30 is 11% / 12%

State of economy the probability of roll /ross in boom is .70 is 29% / 5%

To calculate the expected return on a portfolio of 50 percent Roll and 50 percent

Calculation of return in bust , given

Bust = 0.30

Portfolio return = .50(-0.11)+.50(0.12)

= -0.055 + 0.06

=0.005

Calculation of return in boom , given

Boom = 0.70

Portfolio return = .50(0.29)+.50(0.05)

= 0.145 + 0.025

=0.1700

Calculation of E(RP)

= (0.30 * 0.005) + (0.70*0.1700)

=0.0015+0.119

=0.1205

Or 12.05%

The E(RP) is 12.05%