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The director of social services of a county has learned that the state has manda

ID: 2777939 • Letter: T

Question

The director of social services of a county has learned that the state has mandated additional information requirements. This will place an additional burden on the agency. The director has identified three acceptable alternatives to handle the increased workload. One alternative is to reassign present staff members, the second is to hire and train two new workers, and the third is to redesign current practice so that workers can readily collect the information with little additional effort. An unknown factor is the caseload for the coming year when the new data will be collected on a trial basis. The estimated costs for various options and caseloads are shown in the following table:

CASELOAD

Moderate

High

Very High

Reassign

$50*   

60

85        

  New staff

60      

60   

60        

  Redesign   

40   

50    

90        

*Cost in $ thousands.

Assuming that past experience has shown the probabilities of various caseloads to be unreliable, what decision would be appropriate using each of the following criteria?

a. Maximin

b. Maximax

c. Minimax regret

d. Laplace

CASELOAD

Moderate

High

Very High

Reassign

$50*   

60

85        

  New staff

60      

60   

60        

  Redesign   

40   

50    

90        

Explanation / Answer

In maximin criteria

Reassign = 50

New staff = 60

Redesign = 40

The Maximin will be 60 of new staff.

In maximi criteria

Reassign = 85

New staff = 60

Redesign = 90

The Maximax will be 90 of Redesign .

In Minimax criteria

Reassign = 85

New staff = 60

Redesign = 90

The Minimax will be 60 of new staff.