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Please explain this as well, I have an test tomorrow! thank you! Unit B, Review

ID: 2933686 • Letter: P

Question

Please explain this as well, I have an test tomorrow! thank you!

Unit B, Review Exercise B.42 How Unlikely is Paul the Octopus's Success? In the 2010 World Cup, Paul the Octopus (in a German aquarium) became famous for being correct in all eight of the predictions it made, including predicting Spain over Germany in a semi-final match. Before each game, two containers of food (mussela) were lowered into the octopus's tank. The containers were identical, xcopt for country flags of the opposing teams, one on each container. Whichever container Paul opened was deemed his predicted wr Does Paul have psychic power? In other words, is an 8 for 8 record significantly better than just guessing? Use Statkey or ather technology to create a randomization distribution. Celculate a p-value. Round the p-value to three decimal places

Explanation / Answer

Here For Paul the Octopus there are choices for each matches to make.

In each match he chooses the right side. THat means he was successful in each chance.

Now the p - value to get 8 out of 8 correct is= 1/28 = 0.0039 or 0.004

so the p - value = 0.004

so its only 4 out of 1000 times probable that one can be 8 time successful in 8 guesses.