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Mean Standard Deviation N Lower class 11.61 2.67 196 Working class 12.80 2.85 62

ID: 3066474 • Letter: M

Question

Mean

Standard Deviation

N

Lower class

11.61

2.67

196

Working class

12.80

2.85

626

Middle class

14.45

3.08

484

Upper class

15.45

4.05

60

The 2010 GSS provides these statistics above for the average years of education for lower-, working-, middle-, and upper-class respondents and their associated standard deviations.

1.      Construct the 90% confidence interval for the mean number of years of education for lower-class and middle-class respondents (10 pts)?

2.      Construct the 99% confidence interval for the mean number of years of education for lower-class and middle-class respondents (10 pts)?

3.      As our confidence in the result increases, how does the size of the confidence interval change? Explain why this is so (10 pts).

Mean

Standard Deviation

N

Lower class

11.61

2.67

196

Working class

12.80

2.85

626

Middle class

14.45

3.08

484

Upper class

15.45

4.05

60

Explanation / Answer

1)

Step 1: Find /2
Level of Confidence = 90%
= 100% - (Level of Confidence) = 10%
/2 = 5% = 0.05


Step 2: Find degrees of freedom and t/2
Degrees of freedom = smaller of (n1 - 1 , n2 - 1 ) = smaller of (195 , 483) = 195

Calculate t/2 by using t-distribution with degrees of freedom (DF) = 195 and /2 = 0.05 as right-tailed area and left-tailed area.

Step 3: Calculate Confidence Interval

t/2 = 1.65269

Standard Error = (s)²/n + (s)²/n = 0.05597 = 0.2365

Lower Bound = (x - x) - t/2•( (s)²/n + (s)²/n ) = (11.61 - 14.45) - (1.65269)(0.2365) = -3.2309

Upper Bound = (x + x) + t/2•( (s)²/n + (s)²/n ) = (11.61 - 14.45) + (1.65269)(0.2365) = -2.4490

Confidence Interval = (-3.2309, -2.4490)

2)

Step 1: Find /2
Level of Confidence = 99%
= 100% - (Level of Confidence) = 1%
/2 = 0.5% = 0.005


Step 2: Find degrees of freedom and t/2
Degrees of freedom = smaller of (n1 - 1 , n2 - 1 ) = smaller of (195 , 483) = 195

Calculate t/2 by using t-distribution with degrees of freedom (DF) = 195 and /2 = 0.005 as right-tailed area and left-tailed area.

Step 3: Calculate Confidence Interval

t/2 = 2.60113

Standard Error = (s)²/n + (s)²/n = 0.05597 = 0.2365

Lower Bound = (x - x) - t/2•( (s)²/n + (s)²/n ) = (11.61 - 14.45) - (2.60113)(0.2365) = -3.4553

Upper Bound = (x + x) + t/2•( (s)²/n + (s)²/n ) = (11.61 - 14.45) + (2.60113)(0.2365) = -2.2246

Confidence Interval = (-3.4553, -2.2246).

3) As we increase our confidence level , then we increase the size of the range about our estimate