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Suppose we did collect data by asking professors how old they were and measuring

ID: 3131115 • Letter: S

Question

Suppose we did collect data by asking professors how old they were and measuring their blood pressure. The table below reflects the data collected based on these two variables:

Low Blood Pressure

High Blood Pressure

Total

50 and Under

64

51

115

Over 50

31

73

104

Total

95

124

219

Let us use the following notation for events: U = 50 and under, O = over 50, L = low blood pressure and H = high blood pressure.

1. Compute P(L), P(L|U) and P(L|O).

2. Are the events L = low blood pressure and U = 50 and under independent? Why or why not?

3. Compute P(L and U) and P(L and O).

4. Compute P(H) and P(H|U).

5. Are the events H = high blood pressure and O = over 50 independent? Why or why not?

6. Compute P(L or U).

Low Blood Pressure

High Blood Pressure

Total

50 and Under

64

51

115

Over 50

31

73

104

Total

95

124

219

Explanation / Answer

Answer to question# 1)

P(L) = total number of Low Blood Pressure people / total number of people

P(L) = 95 /219

.

P(L | U) = P(L and U ) / P(U) ...formula of conditional probability

P(L and U ) = probability of people under 50 and have low BP = 64/219

P(U) = Probability of people under 50 = 115/219

.

P(L | U) = (64 /219) / (115 /219)

P(L | U) = 64 /115

.

P(L | O) = P(L and O) / P(O)

P(L and O) = 31 /219

P(O) = 104 /219

P( L | O) = (31 /219 ) / (104 /115)

P(L | O) = 31 /104