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Sassafras Oil is staking all its remaining capital on wildcat exploration off th

ID: 3147027 • Letter: S

Question

Sassafras Oil is staking all its remaining capital on wildcat exploration off the cote d'Huile. There is a 10% chance of discovering a field with reserves of 50 million barrels. If it finds oll, it will immediately sell the reserves to Big Oll at a price depending on the state of the economy. Thus the possible payoffs are as follows: Value of Value of Reserves, Reserves 50 Million Barrels $200,000,000 250,000,000 300,000,00e per Barrel Value of Dryholes Boom Normal economy Recession s 4 Is Sassafras Oll a risky Investment for a diversified Investor in the stock market? O Yes O No

Explanation / Answer

As there is only 10% chance so yes it must be a risky investment .As they are stalking all remaining capital on this so this must be risky as the conversion rate is very less.