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In a certain large metropolitan city there are two candidates running for Mayor,

ID: 3152222 • Letter: I

Question

In a certain large metropolitan city there are two candidates running for Mayor, Ronald Chump and Haile Minton. 48% of the voters are in favor of Ms. Minton. An exit poll (this is a random sample taken of people exiting polling place) of 3600 people was taken. X = the number of people who voted for Ms. Minton. What is the mean of X? mu_X = What is the standard deviation of X? sigma_x = (Round to 2 decimal places) Using the Normal Approximation to Binomial, what is the probability that more than 1805 people voted for Ms. Minton?

Explanation / Answer

A)The mean of X is: x=n*p=3600*0.48=1728

B)The standard deviation of X is: x=root over np(1-p)

=root over 1728(1-0.48)

=29.97

C)Use Normal approximation to Binomial to find:

P(X>1805)

For X=1805, z=(X-mu)/sigma

=(1805-1728)/29.97

=2.57

Thus P(X>1805)=P(z>2.57)=1-0.9949=0.0051