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In the Harvard Medical Practice Study, a sample of 31,429 medical records of hos

ID: 3172525 • Letter: I

Question

In the Harvard Medical Practice Study, a sample of 31,429 medical records of hospital patients were reviewed to assess the frequency of medical malpractice. Two types of malpractice were identified:

An adverse event was defined as an injury caused by medical management (rather than by the underlying disease).

Negligence was defined as care that fell below the standard expected of physicians in the community.

An approximate 1% sample of records was reviewed on two different occasions by different review teams. The data were obtained in the table below.

(a) Adverse events                                                                        (b) Negligence                                                     

Review Process B                                                             Review Process B

                                    +                      - +                        -

Review             +          35                    13                        Review + 4                        9

Process Process          

A                      -           21                    249 A                      -           12 293

(1) Can you assess the reproducibility of adverse events and negligence designations? Which seems to be more reproducible?

KAPPA test

Explanation / Answer

Please note that

now observed accuracy = (35+249)/(35+249+21+13) =0.89

expected accuracy =( ((35+21)*(35+13))/(35+249+21+13) + 249+13)*(249+21)/(35+249+21+13))/ (35+249+21+13) = 0.72

putting the values in the formula

we get kappa as (0.89-0.72)/(1-0.72) = 0.60

now for the other one , negligence using the same formula

now observed accuracy = (4+293)/(4+293+9+12) =0.933

expected accuracy = (16*13/318 + 302*305/318)/318 = 0.912

so kappa = (0.933-0.912)/(1-0.912) = 0.238

hence the kappa of adverse events is 0.6 as compared to 0.238 of negligecen events , hence adverse events has more reproducibility