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AP Statistics (Answer according to what an AP stats or college freshman would be

ID: 3205031 • Letter: A

Question

AP Statistics (Answer according to what an AP stats or college freshman would be expected to know)

1) In a particular faculty 60% of students are men and 40% are women. In a random sample of 50 students what is the probability that more than half are women?

Let the random variable X = number of women in the sample.

Assume X has the binomial distribution with n = 50 and p = 0.4.

   (a) Calculate the exact binomial probability.

(b) Recalculate the probability in part (a) using a normal approximation without the continuity correction.

(c) Recalculate the probability in part (a) using a normal approximation with the continuity correction.

Please label your answers clearly so I can follow. Thanks

Explanation / Answer

a. Let us denote as given x = number of women in sample.

now P(more than half are women) = b(x 26 | n=50, p = 0.4)
. P(x 26) = 0.0573437605422 from stastical distribution table

We can also use the binomial cdf function if you have a TI-83 or similar calculator as 1– binomcdf(25)

B) Variance = np(1–p) = 50(.4)(.6) = 12. So SD = 12 3.4641
Mean = np = 50(.4) = 20

If X = 26, then Z = (X–mean)/SD = (26–20)/12 = 6/12 =3 1.732

Normal P(X 26) = P (Z 1.732) 0.04163

C ) Continuity correction: use X = 25.5 (back off half a unit to get entire bar.

Normal P(X 25.5) = P (Z 1.5877) = 0.056177