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A poll in November 2013 found that 52% of the people in the sample said they wan

ID: 3221433 • Letter: A

Question

A poll in November 2013 found that 52% of the people in the sample said they want to lose weight. They announced, "For results based on the total sample of national adults, one can say with 95% confidence that the maximum margin of sampling error is ±3 percentage points."

(a) What is the 95% confidence interval for the percent of all adults who want to lose weight? (Enter your answers as whole numbers.)
______ to _________ %

(b) What does it mean to have 95% confidence in this interval?

a. 95% confidence means that this interval was produced using a process for which there is a 95% chance the interval contains the actual percent of adults in the population who want to lose weight.

b. 95% confidence means that this interval was produced using a process for which, in the long run, 95% of all samples of the same size give an interval that contains the actual percent of adults in the population who don't want to lose weight.    

c. 95% confidence means that this interval was produced using a process for which there is a 95% chance the interval contains the actual percent of adults in the population who don't want to lose weight.

d. 95% confidence means that this interval was produced using a process for which there is a 95% chance the midpoint of the interval is the actual percent of adults in the population who want to lose weight.

e. 95% confidence means that this interval was produced using a process for which, in the long run, 95% of all samples of the same size give an interval that contains the actual percent of adults in the population who want to lose weight.

Explanation / Answer

p = 0.52 , ME = 3

a) CI = p + / - ME

= 52 + /- 3

= (49 , 55)%

b)

e. 95% confidence means that this interval was produced using a process for which, in the long run, 95% of all samples of the same size give an interval that contains the actual percent of adults in the population who want to lose weight.