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The number of snow days per winter at Windham High School is thought to be Poiss

ID: 3239465 • Letter: T

Question

The number of snow days per winter at Windham High School is thought to be Poisson distributed with a mean of 4.3 per year. What is the probability that: (Round to 4 decimal places.)

           

            a.         Fewer than 3 snow days will occur in a given year?

            b.         No snow days will occur in a given year?

            c.         4 or 5 snow days occur in a given year?

            d.         Exactly 3 snow days will occur in a given year?

            e.         5 or more snow days will occur in a given year?

            f.          What is the mean and standard deviation for the above Poisson distribution?

Explanation / Answer

= 4.3

P(X = x) = e- * x / x!

a) P(X < 3) = P(X = 0) + P(X = 1) + P(X = 2)

                  = e-4.3 * 4.30 * 0! + e-4.3 * 4.31 * 1! + e-4.3 * 4.32 * 2!

                  = 0.1974

b) P(X = 0) = e-4.3 * 4.30 * 0! = 0.0136

c) P(X = 4 or 5) = P(X = 4) + P(X = 5)

                         = e-4.3 * 4.34 * 4! + e-4.3 * 4.35 * 5!

                         = 0.1933 + 0.1662

                         = 0.3595

d) P(X = 3) = e-4.3 * 4.33 * 3! = 0.1798

e) P(X > 5) = 1 - P(X < 5)

                  = 1 - [P(X = 0) + P(X = 1) + P(X = 2) + P(X = 3) + P(X = 4)]

                  = 1 - [e-4.3 * 4.30 * 0! + e-4.3 * 4.31 * 1! + e-4.3 * 4.32 * 2! + e-4.3 * 4.33 * 3! + e-4.3 * 4.34 * 4! ]

                  = 1 - 0.5704

                  = 0.4296

f) mean = 4.3

standard deviation = 4.3