In a state\'s Pick 3 lottery game, you pay S$0.85 to select a sequence of three
ID: 3292334 • Letter: I
Question
Explanation / Answer
a) We have 10 digits and we have to select three digits .
Answer: 103 = 1000 possible selections
b) Probability of winning = 1/1000 = 0.001
c) Net Profit = Winning Amount - Paid Amount = 300.72-0.85 = $299.87
d) Expected Value
The expected value is the sum of all the possible outcomes weighted by their probability.
E[X] = XiPi
There are two outcomes: 1) you win and gain $299.87 and 2)You do not win and lose $0.85
The probability of outcome 1 is 0.001. The probability of outcome 2 is (1- 0.001) = 0.999.
Therefore,
E(X) = 0.001*299.87+0.999*(-0.85) = 0.29987-0.84915 =-0.55
Answer $ -0.55
e) Answer: Neither bet is better because both games have the same expected value.
Option A)