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A sample of 45 approved loans of bank XWB shows that clients on average are borr

ID: 3303333 • Letter: A

Question

A sample of 45 approved loans of bank XWB shows that clients on average are borrowing the amount of 172 000 euro, with standard deviation of 52 000 euro.

a) For investment planning and corresponding capital reserves, bank XWB would like to be 95% confident inside which values on average loan amounts may be borrowed by the bank's clients. Calculate this confidence interval.

b) Bank XWB can be 90% confident that customers borrow an average of more than what amount?

c) Suppose that the amounts of approved loans for bank XWB are distributed according the normal distribution with mean 170 000 euro and standard deviation 45 000 euro. Suppose that based on the loan evaluations of its clients, the bank XWB is not able to approve loans amount bigger than 220 000 euro. Calculate the probability that the bank XWB will not be able to approve the loan to its client.

Explanation / Answer

Sol:

n=45

mean=172000

sd=52000

SolutionA:

since population std deviation is known

use z crit.

z crit for 95% =1.96

95% confidence interval for truepopulation mean is

sample mean-z crit stddev/sqrt(n),sample mean+z crit stddev/sqrt(n)

172000-1.96(52000/sqrt(45)),172000+1.96(52000/sqrt(45))

=156806.7,187193.3

lower limit=156806.7

upper limit=187193.3

Solutionb:

zcrit=1.645

90% confidenceinterval is:

172000-1.645(52000)/sqrt(45),172000+1.645(52000)/sqrt(45)

lower limit=159248.4

uopper limit=184751.6

Solutionc:

mean=170000

stddev=45000

P(X>220000)

z=220000-170000/45000

z=1.11

P(Z>1.11)

1-P(Z<1.11)

=1-0.8665

=0.1335

probability that the bank XWB will not be able to approve the loan to its client.

=0.1335

ANSWER 0.1335

159248.4 184751.6