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Players in sports are said to have \"hot streaks\" and \"cold streaks.\" For exa

ID: 3303460 • Letter: P

Question

Players in sports are said to have "hot streaks" and "cold streaks." For example, a batter in baseball might be considered to be in a slump, or cold streak, if that player has made 10 outs in 10 consecutive at-bats. Suppose that a hitter successfully reaches base 38% of the time he comes to the plate. Complete parts (a) through (c) below.

Find the probability that the hitter makes 10 outs in 10 consecutive at-bats, assuming at-bats are independent events. Hint: The hitter makes an out 62% of the time.

a. P(hitter makes 10 consecutive outs) =

b. Are cold streaks unusual?

c. Interpret the probability from part a.

In repeated sets of 10 consecutive at-bats, the hitter is expected to make an out in all 10 at-bats about 18 times out of 1000.

Explanation / Answer

from binomial distribution:

a) P(hitter makes 10 consecutive outs) = (1-0.38)10 =0.0084

b) Yes as probability of that is less then 0.05.

c) In repeated sets of 10 consecutive at-bats, the hitter is expected to make an out in all 10 at-bats about 8 times out of 1000