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Problem 6 (16 points) Assume that the lengths of pregnancies are normally distri

ID: 3317238 • Letter: P

Question

Problem 6 (16 points)

Assume that the lengths of pregnancies are normally distributed with a mean of 280 days and a standard deviation of 7 days.

1.What is the probability that a randomly selected mother will have a pregnancy lasting longer than 290 days?

2.What is the probability that a randomly selected mother will have a pregnancy lasting shorter than 278 days?

3.What is the probability that a randomly selected mother will have a pregnancy lasting between 271 and 289 days?

4.Find the 90th percentile for the lengths of pregnancies.

Explanation / Answer

Mean = 280 days

Standard deviation = 7 days

P(X < A) = P(Z < (A - mean)/standard deviation)

1) P(X > 290) = 1 - P(X < 290)

= 1 - P(Z < (290 - 280)/7)

= 1 - P(Z < 1.43)

= 1 - 0.9236

= 0.0764

2) P(X < 278) = P(Z < (278-280)/7)

= P(Z < -0.286)

= 0.3874

3) P(271 < X < 289) = P(X < 289) - P(X < 271)

= P(Z < (289 - 280)/7) - P(Z< (271 - 280)/7)

= P(Z < 1.29) - P(Z < -1.29)

= 0.9015 - 0.0985

= 0.8030

4) P(X < A) = 0.9

P(Z < (A - 280)/7) = 0.9

(A - 280)/7 = 1.28

A = 288.96

90th percentile for the lenths of pregnancies = 288.96 days