The Allied Group Has Acquired Kramer Industries And Is Now ✓ Solved
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The Allied Group has acquired Kramer Industries and is now considering additional investments. They have determined that there is a firm that is a good fit for their portfolio, the Kramer firm of Montana. The firm was established in 1990 and has the following historical returns: Kramer Industries Year Earnings % Loss) % % % % Address all of the following questions:
- What was the average return for the stock over the period of 1990 through 2010?
- What was the standard deviation for the stock over this period?
- Assume that you currently have a portfolio that returns 19.5%. If you add this stock to the current portfolio, what would happen to the average return on the portfolio?
- Should Allied invest in the stock? Justify your response.
Paper For Above Instructions
The acquisition of Kramer Industries by the Allied Group signals a pivotal moment for both companies as they explore potential investment opportunities. Within this context, analyzing the prospective Kramer firm of Montana is essential. This paper will calculate the average return and standard deviation for Kramer Industries from 1990 to 2010, analyze the impact of integrating this stock into an existing portfolio, and ultimately assess whether Allied Group should invest in Kramer Industries.
Average Return Calculation (1990-2010)
To find the average return for Kramer Industries from 1990 to 2010, we first need to gather the annual earnings or losses for each year within this range. The average return is calculated using the formula:
Average Return = (Sum of Annual Returns) / (Number of Years)
If we assume hypothetical annual returns from 1990 to 2010 as follows (in percentage): 10, -5, 8, 12, -3, 15, 9, 7, 11, -2, 14, 6, 4, 10, 5, 8, 9, 12, 11, 15, -1, the sum equals 8.5% (assuming we calculated from a hypothetical list). Hence:
Average Return = (10 + -5 + 8 + 12 + -3 + 15 + 9 + 7 + 11 + -2 + 14 + 6 + 4 + 10 + 5 + 8 + 9 + 12 + 11 + 15 - 1) / 21
Following through on these calculations, the average return for Kramer Industries over the period ends up being approximately 7.34%.
Standard Deviation Calculation
The standard deviation can give insights into the volatility associated with Kramer’s stock. Using the yearly returns calculated earlier, we apply the formula for standard deviation:
Standard Deviation = √[(Σ(Return - Average Return)²) / (N - 1)]
Through computation and using the returns to discover the deviations from the average, if the standard deviation comes out to be approximately 6.8%, it suggests a moderate level of volatility.
Impact on Current Portfolio
To analyze how adding Kramer Industries to an existing portfolio would affect the average return, we utilize the weighted average return formula. Assuming a current portfolio return of 19.5%, we can determine the new expected return based on the proportion of the investment made into Kramer Industries.
If we consider that 30% of the portfolio is allocated to Kramer, the calculation would be:
New Portfolio Return = (Weight in Current Portfolio Current Portfolio Return) + (Weight in Kramer Kramer Average Return)
Plugging in hypothetical values:
New Portfolio Return = (0.7 19.5) + (0.3 7.34)
This would yield a projected new average return of approximately 16.89%. The addition of Kramer Industries would lower the overall return but could provide benefits in diversification and risk management.
Should Allied Invest in Kramer Industries?
The decision of whether the Allied Group should invest in Kramer Industries hinges on multiple factors. On one hand, the average return of 7.34% could indicate a solid investment relative to certain market benchmarks. Moreover, the relatively moderate standard deviation suggests that Kramer is less volatile than some other investments.
However, considering the projected impact on the existing portfolio, the integration of Kramer could dilute the higher return associated with the current portfolio. Thus, whether Allied should proceed with the investment hinges on their overall investment strategy, risk tolerance, and the anticipated performance of Kramer Industries.
In conclusion, given a moderate expected return and acceptable risk levels, it could be beneficial to invest in Kramer Industries for diversification purposes, as long as this aligns with the strategic objectives of the Allied Group. The historical performance suggests a reasonable opportunity that could fit into their larger investment framework.
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