Phoenix Corp. faltered in the recent recession but is recovering. Free cash flow
ID: 2731834 • Letter: P
Question
Phoenix Corp. faltered in the recent recession but is recovering. Free cash flow has grown rapidly. Forecasts made at the beginning of 2016 are as follows: ($ millions) 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 Net income 1.0 3.8 6.8 7.3 7.6 Investment 1.0 2.8 3.0 3.2 3.2 Free cash flow 0 1.0 3.8 4.1 4.4 Phoenix’s recovery will be complete by 2021, and there will be no further growth in free cash flow. a. Calculate the PV of free cash flow, assuming a cost of equity of 10%. (Do not round intermediate calculations. Enter your answer in millions rounded to 2 decimal places.) Present value $ 29.92 million b. Assume that Phoenix has 15 million shares outstanding. What is the price per share? (Do not round intermediate calculations. Round your answer to 2 decimal places.) Price per share $ 0.89 c. What is Phoenix’s P/E ratio? (Do not round intermediate calculations. Round your answer to 2 decimal places.) P/E ratio 3.02
Explanation / Answer
a) PV of free cash flow: (figures in million dollars) year net income investment FCF pvif @ 10% PV 2017 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.9091 0.00 2018 3.8 2.8 1.0 0.8264 0.83 2019 6.8 3.0 3.8 0.7513 2.85 2020 7.3 3.2 4.1 0.6830 2.80 2021 7.6 3.2 4.4 0.6209 2.73 9.21 Terminal value = (2.73/0.1)*0.6209 16.95 PV of free cash flow 26.16 b) Price per share = 26.16/15 = $1.74 c) P/E ratio = Price/EPS = 1.74/.067 = 25.97 (EPS = 1/15 = 0.067)