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McGilla Golf has decided to sell a new line of golf clubs. The clubs will sell f

ID: 2748704 • Letter: M

Question

McGilla Golf has decided to sell a new line of golf clubs. The clubs will sell for $760 per set and have a variable cost of $320 per set. The company has spent $126,000 for a marketing study that determined the company will sell 24,000 sets per year for seven years. The marketing study also determined that the company will lose sales of 5,000 sets of its high-priced clubs. The high-priced clubs sell at $1,220 and have variable costs of $620. The company will also increase sales of its cheap clubs by 4,000 sets. The cheap clubs sell for $420 and have variable costs of $150 per set. The fixed costs each year will be $8,400,000. The company has also spent $1,176,000 on research and development for the new clubs. The plant and equipment required will cost $24,000,000 and will be depreciated on a straight-line basis. The new clubs will also require an increase in net working capital of $1,105,000 that will be returned at the end of the project. The tax rate is 40 percent, and the cost of capital is 9 percent.

Suppose you feel that the values are accurate to within only ±6 percent. The best-case NPV is ____________ $ and worst-case NPV is __________________ $. (Do not include the dollar signs ($). Negative amount should be indicated by a minus sign. Round your answers to 2 decimal places. (e.g., 32.16)) (Hint: The price and variable costs for the two existing sets of clubs are known with certainty; only the sales gained or lost are uncertain.)

McGilla Golf has decided to sell a new line of golf clubs. The clubs will sell for $760 per set and have a variable cost of $320 per set. The company has spent $126,000 for a marketing study that determined the company will sell 24,000 sets per year for seven years. The marketing study also determined that the company will lose sales of 5,000 sets of its high-priced clubs. The high-priced clubs sell at $1,220 and have variable costs of $620. The company will also increase sales of its cheap clubs by 4,000 sets. The cheap clubs sell for $420 and have variable costs of $150 per set. The fixed costs each year will be $8,400,000. The company has also spent $1,176,000 on research and development for the new clubs. The plant and equipment required will cost $24,000,000 and will be depreciated on a straight-line basis. The new clubs will also require an increase in net working capital of $1,105,000 that will be returned at the end of the project. The tax rate is 40 percent, and the cost of capital is 9 percent.

Suppose you feel that the values are accurate to within only ±6 percent. The best-case NPV is ____________ $ and worst-case NPV is __________________ $. (Do not include the dollar signs ($). Negative amount should be indicated by a minus sign. Round your answers to 2 decimal places. (e.g., 32.16)) (Hint: The price and variable costs for the two existing sets of clubs are known with certainty; only the sales gained or lost are uncertain.)

Explanation / Answer

Initial investment = 24,000,000

This is depreciated on a straight line basis for 7 years, which will provide depreciation tax shield each year

Cash flow generated each year = EBIT *(1-tax)

EBIT = Revenue - cost

Best Case:

New golf balls sales are +6% = 24,000 * (1+6%) = 25440

Decrease in sales of high price clubs is -6% = 5000 * (1-6%) = 4700

Increase in sales of cheap clubs is +6% = 4000 * (1+6%) = 4240

So EBIT can be calculated as follows

EBIT = 25440 * (760-320) - 4700 * (1220 - 620) + 4240 * (420-150) - 8400000 = 1,118,400.00

Year 0 cash flows = -24,000,000-1,105,000 = -25,105,000

Year 7 cash flows = 1,118,400.00+1,105,000 = 2,223,400

So all cash flows are as follows

NPV can be calculated as follows

NPV = NPV(9%,A1:A7)-25105000 = -14,462,668.31

Worst Case:

New golf balls sales are -6% = 24,000 * (1-6%) = 22560

Decrease in sales of high price clubs is +6% = 5000 * (1+6%) = 5300

Increase in sales of cheap clubs is -6% = 4000 * (1-6%) = 3760

So EBIT can be calculated as follows

EBIT = 22560 * (760-320) - 5300 * (1220 - 620) + 3760 * (420-150) - 8400000 = -638400

Year 0 cash flows = -24,000,000-1,105,000 = -25,105,000

Year 7 cash flows = -638,400+1,105,000 = 466,600

So all cash flows are as follows

NPV can be calculated as follows

NPV = NPV(9%,A1:A7)-25105000 = -19,767,803.23

Cash flow Tax Rate After tax Cash Flow Machine Depreciation value Depreciation Tax Shield Total net cash flows Year 0 (25,105,000.00) 40% (25,105,000.00)                         -                           -   (25,105,000.00) Year 1        1,118,400.00 40%            671,040.00    3,428,571.43    1,371,428.57        2,042,468.57 Year 2        1,118,400.00 40%            671,040.00    3,428,571.43    1,371,428.57        2,042,468.57 Year 3        1,118,400.00 40%            671,040.00    3,428,571.43    1,371,428.57        2,042,468.57 Year 4        1,118,400.00 40%            671,040.00    3,428,571.43    1,371,428.57        2,042,468.57 Year 5        1,118,400.00 40%            671,040.00    3,428,571.43    1,371,428.57        2,042,468.57 Year 6        1,118,400.00 40%            671,040.00    3,428,571.43    1,371,428.57        2,042,468.57 Year 7        2,223,400.00 40%        1,334,040.00    3,428,571.43    1,371,428.57        2,705,468.57