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McGilla Golf has decided to sell a new line of golf clubs. The company would lik

ID: 2781774 • Letter: M

Question

McGilla Golf has decided to sell a new line of golf clubs. The company would like to know the sensitivity of NPV to changes in the price of the new clubs and the quantity of new clubs sold. The clubs will sell for $810 per set and have a variable cost of $410 per set. The company has spent $151,000 for a marketing study that determined the company will sell 55,000 sets per year for seven years. The marketing study also determined that the company will lose sales of 9,600 sets of its high-priced clubs. The high-priced clubs sell at $1,110 and have variable costs of $710. The company will also increase sales of its cheap clubs by 11,100 sets. The cheap clubs sell for $450 and have variable costs of $235 per set. The fixed costs each year will be $9,110,000. The company has also spent $1,120,000 on research and development for the new clubs. The plant and equipment required will cost $28,770,000 and will be depreciated on a straight-line basis. The new clubs will also require an increase in net working capital of $1,310,000 that will be returned at the end of the project. The tax rate is 40 percent, and the cost of capital is 10 percent. What is the sensitivity of the NPV to each of these variables? (Do not round intermediate calculations and round your final answers to 2 decimal places, e.g., 32.16.)

  

McGilla Golf has decided to sell a new line of golf clubs. The company would like to know the sensitivity of NPV to changes in the price of the new clubs and the quantity of new clubs sold. The clubs will sell for $810 per set and have a variable cost of $410 per set. The company has spent $151,000 for a marketing study that determined the company will sell 55,000 sets per year for seven years. The marketing study also determined that the company will lose sales of 9,600 sets of its high-priced clubs. The high-priced clubs sell at $1,110 and have variable costs of $710. The company will also increase sales of its cheap clubs by 11,100 sets. The cheap clubs sell for $450 and have variable costs of $235 per set. The fixed costs each year will be $9,110,000. The company has also spent $1,120,000 on research and development for the new clubs. The plant and equipment required will cost $28,770,000 and will be depreciated on a straight-line basis. The new clubs will also require an increase in net working capital of $1,310,000 that will be returned at the end of the project. The tax rate is 40 percent, and the cost of capital is 10 percent. What is the sensitivity of the NPV to each of these variables? (Do not round intermediate calculations and round your final answers to 2 decimal places, e.g., 32.16.)

Explanation / Answer

Solution:

We will calculate the sales and variable costs first. Since we will lose sales of the expensive clubs and gain sales of the cheap clubs, these should be considered for as erosion.

Sales

New clubs $810 × 55,000= 44,550,000

Exp. clubs $1,100 × (–9,600) = –10,560,000

Cheap clubs $450 × 11,100 = 4,995,000

38,985,000

If we are not producing the sets anymore,we will save these variable costs, which is an inflow. So

Var. Costs

New clubs –$410 × 55,000=–22,550,000

Exp. clubs –$710 × (–9,600)=6,816,000

Cheap clubs –$235 × 11,100=–2,608,500

-18,342,500

The pro forma income statement will be:

Sales $38,985,000

Variable Costs 18,342,500

Fixed Costs   9,110,000

Depreciation 4,110,000

EBIT 7,422,500

Taxes (40%) 2,969,000

Net Income 4,453,500

OCF = NI + Depreciation = $4,453,500 + 4,110,000 = $8,563,500

NPV = –$28,770,000 – 1,310,000 + $8563,500(PVIFA10%,7) + $1,310,000/1.10^7

NPV= $12,282,942

To calculate the sensitivity of the NPV to changes in the price of the new club, we simply need tochange the price of the new club. We will choose $850, but the choice is irrelevant

Sales

New clubs $850 × 55,000= 46,750,000

Exp. clubs $1,100 × (–9,600) = –10,560,000

Cheap clubs $450 × 11,100 = 4,995,000

41,185,000

If we are not producing the sets anymore,we will save these variable costs, which is an inflow. So

Var. Costs

New clubs –$410 × 55,000=–22,550,000

Exp. clubs –$710 × (–9,600)=6,816,000

Cheap clubs –$235 × 11,100=–2,608,500

-18,342,500

The pro forma income statement will be:

Sales $41,185,000

Variable Costs 18,342,500

Fixed Costs   9,110,000

Depreciation 4,110,000

EBIT 9,622,500

Taxes (40%) 3,849,000

Net Income 5,773,500

OCF = NI + Depreciation = $5,773,500 + 4,110,000 = $9,883,500

NPV = –$28,770,000 – 1,310,000 + $9,883,500(PVIFA10%,7) + $1,310,000/1.10^7

NPV= $18,709,225

NPV/P = (12,282,942 - 18,709,225 )/($810 – 850)

NPV/P=$160,657.08

For every dollar increase (decrease) in the price of the clubs, the NPV increases (decreases) by$160,657.08