Please highlight or circle the answer. Please make sure I can read it and answer
ID: 3072787 • Letter: P
Question
Please highlight or circle the answer. Please make sure I can read it and answer all the questions.
In the first drop down answer choose if the time series plot is horizontal or trend pattern. For question e the choices are any (A). alpha greater than 0.2 but less than 0.2 provide better results. (B). Any alpha less than 0.2 provides better result. (C) Any alpha greater than 0.2 provides better result. (D). Any alpha less than 0.2 provides better result or greater 0.2 provides better result. (E). Alpha that equal is 0.2 provides better result.
eBook Consider the following time series data. Week 1 2 345 6 Value 16 15 17 13 16 13 (a) Choose the correct time series plot. 20 18 16 14 12 10 Week (t)Explanation / Answer
1.)
Option 3 is correct. Rest all graphs show wrong values at some places
The pattern is decreasing trend since we are getting negative return value from where we started.
2.)
MSE = 5.148
Forecast for week 7 = 14
c.)
Forecast for week 7 = 15.036
Mean Squared Error = 3.696
d.)
The Mean Squared Error for Exponential smoothening is less than that of Moving average. So, Exponential smoothening provides forecast than Moving average
Week Value Forecast 1 16 2 15 3 17 4 13 16 5 16 15 6 13 15.33 7 14.00