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Assume that human body temperatures are normally distributed with a mean of 98.1

ID: 3132297 • Letter: A

Question

Assume that human body temperatures are normally distributed with a mean of 98.19 degree F and a standard deviation of 0.61 degree F. A hospital uses 100.6 degree F as the lowest temperature considered to be a fever. What percentage of normal and healthy persons would be considered to have a fever? Does this percentage suggest that a cutoff of 100.6 degree F is appropriate? Physicians want to select a minimum temperature for requiring further medical tests. What should that temperature be, if we want only 5.0% of healthy people to exceed it? (Such a result is a false positive, meaning that the test result is positive, but the subject is not really sick.) The percentage of normal and healthy persons considered to have a fever is %. (Round to two decimal places as needed.) Does this percentage suggest that a cutoff of 100.6 degree F is appropriate? No, because there is a small probability that a normal and healthy person would be considered to have a fever. Yes, because there is a small probability that a normal and healthy person would be considered to have a fever. No, because there is a large probability that a normal and healthy person would be considered to have a fever. Yes, because there is a large probability that a normal and healthy person would be considered to have a fever. The minimum temperature for requiring further medical tests should be degree F if we want only 5.0% of healthy people to exceed it. (Round to two decimal places as needed.)

Explanation / Answer

a)

We first get the z score for the critical value. As z = (x - u) / s, then as          
          
x = critical value =    100.6      
u = mean =    98.19      
          
s = standard deviation =    0.61      
          
Thus,          
          
z = (x - u) / s =    3.95      
          
Thus, using a table/technology, the right tailed area of this is          
          
P(z >   3.95   ) =    0 [ANSWER]

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OPTION B: YES, because there is a small probability that a normal and healthy person would be considered to have a fever. [ANSWER]

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b)

First, we get the z score from the given left tailed area. As          
          
Left tailed area = 1 - 0.05 =   0.95      
          
Then, using table or technology,          
          
z =    1.64      
          
As x = u + z * s,          
          
where          
          
u = mean =    98.19      
z = the critical z score =    1.64      
s = standard deviation =    0.61      
          
Then          
          
x = critical value =    99.1904 = 99.19 [ANSWER]