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A polling company conducts an annual poll of adults about political opinions. Th

ID: 3157568 • Letter: A

Question

A polling company conducts an annual poll of adults about political opinions. The survey asked a random sample of 414 adults whether they think things in the country are going in the right direction or in the wrong direction. 53?% said that things were going in the wrong direction. Complete parts a and b below.

itions required to apply a confidence interval met? the sample proporto is between A. Yes, because the sample is a simple random sample, the sample proportion is between 10% and 90%, and there are at least 20 expected "successes" and 20 expected "failures." Yes, because the sample is a simple random sample, the sample is less than 10% of the population, and there are at least 10 expected "successes" and 10 expected "failures." B. ° C. No, because the sample is a simple random sample, the sample is less than 10% of the population, and there are at least 10 expected "successes" and 10 expected "failures." No, because the sample is a simple random sample, the sample proportion is between 10% and 90%, and there are at least 20 expected successes" and 20 expected "failures." D. b) How many people would need to be surveyed for a 90% confidence interval to ensure the margin of error would be less than 5%? n= (Round up to the nearest integer)

Explanation / Answer

a)

OPTION B. [ANSWER]

[Note: It is usually option B, because we need a sample that is a small part of the population, but big enough to produce at least 10 successes and failures. However, if in some case you use option A in your class, please feel free to do so. Thanks!]

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b)

Note that      
      
n = z(alpha/2)^2 p (1 - p) / E^2      
      
where      
      
alpha/2 =    0.05  
       
      
Using a table/technology,      
      
z(alpha/2) =    1.644853627  
      
Also,      
      
E =    0.05  
p =    0.53  
      
Thus,      
      
n =    269.5803498  
      
Rounding up,      
      
n =    270   [ANSWER]