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Please , answer all of these questions. A satellite system consists of 3 compone

ID: 3181364 • Letter: P

Question

Please , answer all of these questions.

A satellite system consists of 3 components and functions on any given day if at least 2 of its 3 components function on that day. On a rainy day, each of the components independently functions with probability 0.6, whereas on a dry day they each independently function with probability 0.8. a) What is the probability that the satellite system will function on a rainy day? b) Let the probability of having a rainy day be 0.3 what is the probability that the satellite system will function on a random day? c) suppose we do not know yesterday's weather conditions but we know that the satellite was working. Given this fact, what is the probability that yesterday was rainy?

Explanation / Answer

a) P(satellite system will function on a rainy day) = P(at least 2 out of 3 componets working on a rainy day) = P(2 componets working on a rainy day) + P(3 componets working on a rainy day)

= 3 x 0.6x0.6x0.4 + 0.63

= 0.648

b) P(satellite system will function on a dry day) = = P(at least 2 out of 3 componets working on a dry day) = P(2 componets working on a dry day) + P(3 componets working on a dry day)

= 3x0.8x0.8x.2 + 0.83

= 0.896

P(satellite working on a given day) = 0.3x0.648 + 0.7x0.896 = 0.8216

c) P(rainy | satellite was working) = 0.3x0.648/0.8216 = 0.2366