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In Example 6 we used data from 1920 to 2020 and found that the life span in the

ID: 3197724 • Letter: I

Question

In Example 6 we used data from 1920 to 2020 and found that the life span in the United States depended on the year of birth according to the equation

L(x) = 11.027 + 14.304 ln(x)

where x is the number of years after 1900. Using data from 1920 to 1989, the model

?(x) = 11.616 + 14.144 ln(x)

where x is the number of years after 1900, predicts life span as a function of birth year. Use both models to predict the life spans for people born in 1995 and in 2020. (Round your answers to two decimal places.)

model L: 1995     = years model L: 2020     = years model ?: 1995     = years model ?: 2020     = years

Explanation / Answer

model L : 11.027 + 14.304ln(x)

For year 1995, x = 1995 - 1900 = 95

=> Expected Life = 11.027 + 14.304 ln(95) = 76.165 years

For year 2020, x = 2020 - 1900 = 120

=> Expected Life = 11.027 + 14.304 ln(120) = 79.507 years

model ? : 11.616 + 14.144ln(x)

For year 1995, x = 1995 - 1900 = 95

=> Expected Life = 11.616 + 14.144*ln(95) = 76.026 years

For year 2020, x = 2020 - 1900 = 120

=> Expected Life = 11.616 + 14.144*ln(120) = 79.33 years