QUESTION 5, suppose the following are the seasonal indices for the first three q
ID: 3222119 • Letter: Q
Question
QUESTION 5, suppose the following are the seasonal indices for the first three quarters of the year for a quarterly series:
Quarter Seasonal Index
Q1 72.6
q2 80.9
Q3 108.6
Remember that the seasonal indices should average 100 so you should e able to infer the seasonal index for Q4.
Furthermore suppose that the estimated coefficients from a regerssion of the deseasonalized series on Time are given below
Intercept 2209
time 61.2
If the original value of the series in a Q4 was 2451, then what is the seasonally adjusted value?
ANSWER IS 1777.4. just unsure how to get the answer
Explanation / Answer
here for average value of all seasonal index=100
hence (72.6+80.9+108.6+x)/4=100
hence seasonal index of Q4 x=400-72.6-80.9-108.6=137.9
for seasonalized value 2451 ; deseasonalized value =seasonaized value/seasonal index =2451*100/(137.9)=1777.375