Comment on the quotation below from a climatologist What I think is our best det
ID: 3367360 • Letter: C
Question
Comment on the quotation below from a climatologist What I think is our best determination io it wil ble a colder than normal winter Fm basing that on a couple of ifferent things. First in look at the past fow winters, h has been a lack of really cold weather Even though wo are not supposed to use the law of averages, we are due 1118 O A. There is no Law of Averages She would be wrong to think they are "due" for a harsh winter 7/18 O B. The dlimatologist io right in her that she should not use the "Law of Averages Her forecast for colder weather is lkely accurate O C. The climatologisrs s prediction is probably wrong Since the past few winters have not had very cold weather,i is more lkely that the next winter vill also not have very cold weather OD. The climatologist io ikely Inaccurato Weather is too naturaly unpredictable for forecasiting to be reliable OD. The 03/18 10/18Explanation / Answer
Option (c) is correct
Because if we apply any forecasting technique it will predict the data based on past (historical) experience
the climatologist's prediction is probably wrong. Since the past few winters have not had very cold weather, it is more likely that the next winter will also not have very cold weather.
we should use "Law of averages" for better prediction