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Mena would like to build a dam in the Grand Canyon of Western US to provide elec

ID: 1202102 • Letter: M

Question

Mena would like to build a dam in the Grand Canyon of Western US to provide electricity to the nearby urban area of Las Vegas. Suppose the dam costs $800 million to build and is expected to generate $150 million of annual electricity production forever. The annual discount rate is 5%. There is the possibility of environmental damage from flooding the Canyon. In fact, there is a 50% chance that the environmental damages from building the dam will be as high as $100 million per year and a 50% chance that there will be no damages from building the dam.

a. Without taking into account the expected environmental damage, is the dam a good idea?

b. Taking into account the expected environmental damage, is the dam a good idea (assuming we build it today)?

Explanation / Answer

a. Without taking into account the expected environmental effect the dam is certainly a good ides.

b. TKeeping in mind the expected outcome of environmental damage from the dam it is not at all a goosd idea to build it up today. As thae damages will account $100 million per yera;.