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Remember that a complete answer to a hypothesis test question includes 4 steps:

ID: 3228907 • Letter: R

Question

Remember that a complete answer to a hypothesis test question includes 4 steps:

1) Hypothesize: Write a null and alternative hypothesis

2) Prepare: Make sure your sample size is large enough to satisfy the CLT for sample proportions (Remember to use the POOLED SAMPLE PROPORTION and verify that BOTH SAMPLE SIZES are large enough.)

3) Test Statistic: Computed using technology (StatCrunch or a TI Calculator)

4) Interpret: Write a conclusion in PLAIN ENGLISH related to the given problem

1. Researchers were investigating the effectiveness of nicotine gum in helping people quit smoking. Of 1649 people using nicotine gum, 174 succeeded in quitting smoking. Of 1648 people receiving a placebo, 66 succeeded in quitting smoking. Do we have evidence that nicotine gum is effective in helping people quit smoking? Remember to show all 4 steps of your hypothesis test.

2. In a study, people were observed for about 10 seconds in public places to determine whether they smiled during the randomly chosen 10-second interval. The table shows the results comparing males and females. Male with Smile 3269, without smile 3806. Female with smile 4471, without smile 4278.

a. Do we have evidence that there is a difference in the proportion of males and females who smile? Remember to show all 4 steps of your hypothesis test.

b. Construct a 95% confidence interval for the difference in the proportion of males and females who smile. How does your confidence interval support your conclusion in part a?

Explanation / Answer

Question 1

Here, we have to use the two sample z test for the population proportions.

The null and alternative hypothesis for this test is given as below:

Null hypothesis: H0: There is no any statistically significant difference in the population proportions of quitting smoking by using nicotine gum and placebo.

Alternative hypothesis: Ha: There is a statistically significant difference in the population proportions of quitting smoking by using nicotine gum and placebo.

Test statistic formula is given as below:

Z = (P1 – P2) / sqrt[(p1q1/n1)+(p2q2/n2]

The test is given as below:

Data

Hypothesized Difference

0

Level of Significance

0.05

Group 1

Number of Items of Interest

174

Sample Size

1649

Group 2

Number of Items of Interest

66

Sample Size

1648

Intermediate Calculations

Group 1 Proportion

0.105518496

Group 2 Proportion

0.040048544

Difference in Two Proportions

0.065469952

Average Proportion

0.0728

Z Test Statistic

7.2350

Two-Tail Test

Lower Critical Value

-1.9600

Upper Critical Value

1.9600

p-Value

0.0000

Reject the null hypothesis

Question 2

Part a

Here, we have to use the two sample z test for the population proportions.

The null and alternative hypothesis for this test is given as below:

H0: There is no any significant difference in the population proportions of male with smile and female with smile.

Ha: There is a significant difference in the population proportions of male with smile and female with smile.

Test statistic formula is given as below:

Z = (P1 – P2) / sqrt[(p1q1/n1)+(p2q2/n2]

We assume 5% level of significance for this test.

The test is given as below:

Z Test for Differences in Two Proportions

Data

Hypothesized Difference

0

Level of Significance

0.05

Male

Number of Items of Interest

3269

Sample Size

7075

Female

Number of Items of Interest

4471

Sample Size

8749

Intermediate Calculations

Group 1 Proportion

0.46204947

Group 2 Proportion

0.511029832

Difference in Two Proportions

-0.04898036

Average Proportion

0.4891

Z Test Statistic

-6.1283

Two-Tail Test

Lower Critical Value

-1.9600

Upper Critical Value

1.9600

p-Value

0.0000

Reject the null hypothesis

We reject the null hypothesis that there is no any significant difference in the population proportions of male with smile and female with smile.

This means we conclude that there is sufficient evidence that there is a significant difference in the population proportions of male with smile and female with smile.

Question 2

Part b

The 95% confidence interval for difference in proportions is given as below:

Confidence interval = (P1 – P) -/+ Z*sqrt[(p1q1/n1)+(p2q2/n2]

The confidence interval by using technology is given as below:

Confidence Interval Estimate

of the Difference Between Two Proportions

Data

Confidence Level

95%

Intermediate Calculations

Z Value

-1.9600

Std. Error of the Diff. between two Proportions

0.0080

Interval Half Width

0.0156

Confidence Interval

Interval Lower Limit

-0.0646

Interval Upper Limit

-0.0333

The above confidence interval support the conclusion in part a as the value ‘0’ is not included in the confidence interval.

Data

Hypothesized Difference

0

Level of Significance

0.05

Group 1

Number of Items of Interest

174

Sample Size

1649

Group 2

Number of Items of Interest

66

Sample Size

1648

Intermediate Calculations

Group 1 Proportion

0.105518496

Group 2 Proportion

0.040048544

Difference in Two Proportions

0.065469952

Average Proportion

0.0728

Z Test Statistic

7.2350

Two-Tail Test

Lower Critical Value

-1.9600

Upper Critical Value

1.9600

p-Value

0.0000

Reject the null hypothesis