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An IRS agent has 19 tax returns on her desk, of which 14 were filed using the sh

ID: 3392051 • Letter: A

Question

An IRS agent has 19 tax returns on her desk, of which 14 were filed using the short form (1040A). She randomly chooses 8 returns to audit. Determine the probability of the following:

At least 6 were filed using the short form.

This is what I got:

P(at least 6) = P(6)+ P(7)+ P(8)

P(k) = C(8,k) p^k (1p)^(8k)

p=14/19=.7368

1-p=.2632

=(8,6)(.7368)^6(.2632)^2+(8,7)(.7368)^7(.2632)+(8,8)(.7368)^8 = .3103326

There is a 31.03% probability that at least 6 were filed using the short form.

Is this correct?

Explanation / Answer

An IRS agent has 19 tax returns on her desk, of which 14 were filed using the sh