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Pivot table - Probabilities Question (Please show the probabilities in decimal f

ID: 3727719 • Letter: P

Question

Pivot table - Probabilities Question (Please show the probabilities in decimal form)

Using the two pivot tables above, please answer the following probability questions:

a. Compute the following quantities [P(A|B) means “the probability of A given B”]:

i. P(CC = 1|Loan = 1) (the proportion of credit card holders among the loan acceptors)

ii. P(Online = 1|Loan = 1)

iii. P(Loan = 1) (the proportion of loan acceptors)

iv. P(CC = 1|Loan = 0)

v. P(Online = 1|Loan = 0)

vi. P(Loan = 0)

b. Use the quantities computed above to compute the naive Bayes probability P(Loan = 1|CC = 1,> Online Count of ID Personal Loan 1827 189 2016 2693 291 2984 1 Grand Total 4520 480 5000 Grand Total CreditCard Count of ID Personal Loan 3193 337 3530 1327 143 1470 1 Grand Total 4520 480 5000 Grand Total

Explanation / Answer

SOLUTIONS:-

(a):-(i). P(CC = 1|Loan = 1) (the proportion of credit card holders among the loan acceptors)

= 143/480=0.297

(ii). P(Online = 1|Loan = 1)

= 291/480=0.606

(iii). P(Loan = 1) (the proportion of loan acceptors)

= 480/5000=0.096

(iv).P(CC = 1|Loan = 0)

= 1327/4520=0.293

(v). P(Online = 1|Loan = 0)

= 2693/4520=0.595

(vi). P(Loan = 0)

= 4520/5000=0.904

(b).naive Bayes probability P(Loan = 1|CC = 1,>

  = (0.297 * 0.606 * 0.096) / [(0.297 * 0.606 * 0.096) + (0.293 * 0.595 * 0.904)]

= 0.0172 / (0.0172+0.157)

= 0.0172 / 0.1742

= 0.098

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